Let's talk about US invasion objectives for Trump's war in Iran.... - Belle of the Ranch

[TexasTowelie]

Well, howdy there Internet people. It's Belle again. So, today we're going to talk about US invasion objectives for Trump's war in Iran.

The reporting has become more and more clear that Trump is considering an invasion of Iran. They're of course trying to frame it as anything other than that in the press, but we're talking about US troops being deployed inside Iran. They're saying it'll be limited. They're saying it won't be deep inside Iran's territory and so on. It doesn't change what Trump is doing. Republican Senator James Lankford said, "We've got to be able to know what the objectives are and what they're actually carrying out." He went on to say, "If this is special forces to be able to carry out a specific operation, get in, get out, that's very different than long-standing occupation. The worst thing that can happen is to be able to have this kind of conflict start and to not end it, to leave it undone. We've got to be able to finish this."

We're a month into the war and senators in Trump's own party don't know why it's being fought, don't know the objectives, and yet we're getting ready to put troops in. It's going to be hard to finish this when nobody knows what they're doing and Trump changes mission objectives and victory conditions daily. That's a recipe for lost troops and a lost war.

Let's run through the menu based on the assets in the region that we know are deployed. Yes, there are assets in region to conduct special operations of a whole bunch of varieties. Everything from demo jobs to snatching leadership or scientific personnel. But there's also a list of assets that were moved that aren't needed for special operations. Those assets suggest potential moves against islands or the coast.

There's the move against Kharg Island, which would draw Iranian resources off the Strait. There are also islands in or close to the Strait that the US might seize to try to protect the waterway. Most experts suggest that would be self-defeating and intensify the fighting and risk in the Strait and the accompanying trade disruption.

But in particular, the US is probably looking at Larak Island where Iran has a lot of resources based. And there's some disputed islands that the UAE also claims, which Trump would probably see as a way to hand off the fight after he starts it. But the airborne capabilities also suggest maybe a move at taking over an airfield or maybe a power plant or energy research facility.

The resources assembled for something more inland could actually be the resources for moving in and attempting to seize the uranium and the enrichment equipment Trump repeatedly claimed was obliterated.

It's impossible to know just which route they'll go with because there are no strategic objectives Trump wants to achieve. He can't clearly articulate the military objectives, which leaves us with a wide range of variables.

Congress is acting like they're very concerned about what's going to happen to the troops put in harm's way, but they've had a month and still can't explain the war, its goals, or why it's happening. Most of Congress has given up on the troops as fast as they give up on their campaign promises. The concern is just a show. They have the power to stop the escalation anytime they want to. and they haven't.

Anyway, it's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.