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Butterflylady

(4,501 posts)

15. I for one do not believe it

Reply to steve2470 (Original post)

Tue Sep 18, 2018, 03:40 PM

Sep 2018

Its Quinnipiac poll to start with and basically no poll can be accurate now adays due to so much different technology. Now you have not only land lines along with cell phones and dont forget those that have cells that are not connected to a peculiar cell company. Also added will be newly registered voters, many of which will be the millennial voters. Yes I know it's Texas, but I still feel it's Betos for the win.

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Poll: Cruz up 9 in Texas Senate race [View all] steve2470 Sep 2018 OP

what changed? Le Gaucher Sep 2018 #1

Massive disinformation campaign and propaganda. MrsCoffee Sep 2018 #2

The "summons" was deceptive but not illegal onenote Sep 2018 #26

Wouldn't receiving that... lame54 Sep 2018 #29

Different turn out models grantcart Sep 2018 #16

It's a poll of LIKELY voters, while most others are REGISTERED voters. JaneQPublic Sep 2018 #18

It is hard to predict likely voters for this race Gothmog Sep 2018 #3

Beto has a strong shot. Iliyah Sep 2018 #4

Beto is still going strong and most of these polls are polling landlines. Dem_4_Life Sep 2018 #5

How could 52 percent of people have a favorable opinion of Cruz .. CatMor Sep 2018 #6

Because it's Texas qazplm135 Sep 2018 #8

That stat shows why this poll is an outlier JCMach1 Sep 2018 #21

I'm skeptical Beto can pull it off qazplm135 Sep 2018 #7

I think this probably reflects reality unfortunately. nycbos Sep 2018 #9

The metro areas have already gone blue or purple and we have been closing the gap Lisa0825 Sep 2018 #22

OK, everyone, get out you checkbooks or go to his website. Every $5 helps!!!! nt LAS14 Sep 2018 #10

My neighbor just texted me that more nieghbors need Beto signs Dem_4_Life Sep 2018 #11

Wait what? vercetti2021 Sep 2018 #12

True. Go to RealClearPolitics.com. Their average is now 4.something. nt LAS14 Sep 2018 #13

Outlier poll. If more of them come out and show Cruz this far ahead, then John Fante Sep 2018 #14

I for one do not believe it Butterflylady Sep 2018 #15

Dang it. Adrahil Sep 2018 #17

I live here in Texas and I can say JanetLovesObama Sep 2018 #19

I thought for sure Wendy had it last time she ran democratic friend Sep 2018 #23

GOTV! dalton99a Sep 2018 #20

They would have had to poll a lot of people out in the rural areas to get that result DFW Sep 2018 #24

Awesome candidate in the wrong state Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #25

Good. Perhaps some of Cruz' base will assume he has an easy win and.... Freethinker65 Sep 2018 #27

If Orourke is also running a new voter campaign KCDebbie Sep 2018 #28

Him losing will suck in many ways.... vi5 Sep 2018 #30

You are aware he's already in Congress right? BannonsLiver Sep 2018 #31

I'm aware of this..... vi5 Sep 2018 #32

I see it a little differently BannonsLiver Sep 2018 #34

That's about how I see it. vi5 Sep 2018 #35

Real number is indeed closer to 5 Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #33

I have been giving bdamomma Sep 2018 #36

I'm going to tell you to stop... brooklynite Sep 2018 #38

Quinnipiac switched pool from registered voters to likely voters. LAS14 Sep 2018 #37

Apparently we lost a Texas state senate seat tonight due to complacency Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #39