A Second Trump Term Would Be A Hellscape Of Indescribable Proportions

[Celerity]

4. +100000

Atm I see a 52-48 Democratic majority

Lose AL

Defend all other Blue seats

Flip IA, AZ, NC, ME, CO, MT

Fair chances at: GA (the regular election, Perdue is weak), KS (Open seat. Sibelius refusing hurts us badly, I would have put it in the flip category if she had run, but Bollier has a shot)

More remote chances but not impossible: KY (grrrr, McTurtle is almost a bigger threat than Trump, and more than Barr IMHO), GA (special election, Doug Collins will unfortunately win I think, Yates and Abrams refusing to run in either GA seat race hurt our chances in both) TN (Open seat. I would have put it in the flip category if Tim McGraw had not refused to run, grrr, James Mackler has a chance, but still, Mcgraw, especially as he had said for years )

Forget it category: AK (we do not even have a Dem running, Al Gross, an indie, is probably toast) and TX (not even Beto or Julian Castro would have toppled Cornyn, who is far more popular than Cruz)


The House is probably, probably safe, but CA-25 2 days ago is a warning shot. All it takes is for us to lose a net 16 seats and the Rethugs pull it back. We are defending 50 to 60 very close and/or flipped House seats, so it is not in the bag by any means.