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Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

19. I agree with you regarding Wisconsin

Reply to jimlup (Reply #18)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 10:20 PM

Jul 2020

That is the pivotal state if Biden's national margin drops. There are plenty of problems in Wisconsin including near parity between males and females in the electorate. We don't get the 53-47% split of females over males as in other states.

Not as many conservatives cross over and vote for the Democrat in Wisconsin. That is another issue. We normally have a net advantage in that category. But it didn't happen in either Wisconsin or in Pennsylvania 2016. Trump held conservatives above normal and he held Republicans above normal.

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** Super Fresh**Fox News Poll: Biden tops Trump in battlegrounds Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 OP

the stupid in most of those comments... NRaleighLiberal Jul 2020 #1

11 points in PA. That's gonna leave a mark. Off to GP with you! lindysalsagal Jul 2020 #2

Wow... EarlG Jul 2020 #3

Trump plans to spend a small fortune in Minnesota dflprincess Jul 2020 #4

Be careful though... we still need Wisconsin jimlup Jul 2020 #5

Not if Joe bags Florida, which is looking more and more likely every day. John Fante Jul 2020 #6

Exactly. With CV-19 out of control in Florida, he's losing enthusiasm fast. Doodley Jul 2020 #8

Either Florida or Wisconsin plus these states would seal the deal. Nt Fiendish Thingy Jul 2020 #9

There is 3 months for Florida's covid numbers to slow way down. I wonder how that might Quixote1818 Jul 2020 #10

Not much. Covid numbers have slowed in Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania John Fante Jul 2020 #16

I'm not thinking optimistically... jimlup Jul 2020 #18

I agree with you regarding Wisconsin Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #19

Might Arizona help Joe? Vogon_Glory Jul 2020 #12

with the new Florida poll, that puts Joe up 10+ points in more than 270 electoral votes fishwax Jul 2020 #7

Great news, with one caveat- these are RV's not LV's Fiendish Thingy Jul 2020 #11

Quality polls are almost never off twice the margin of error which is theoretical. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #13

No, but +/- 3.5% means either Biden's or Trump's number could vary that much Fiendish Thingy Jul 2020 #14

I understand that but if you average polls the MOE decreases because the sample size increases. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #15

I don't want to offend, but I hate clicking a Fox News link. I don't want to give them the traffic. CaptainTruth Jul 2020 #17

omg - the comments by MAGA people the end of that article Chili Jul 2020 #20