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Eyeball_Kid

(7,604 posts)
17. I don't think that NATO countries have reason to be petrified. Not even Finland and Sweden,
Sat Feb 26, 2022, 11:28 AM
Feb 2022

both of whom do not have illusions about Russia's desire for expansion.

Finland and Sweden have strong strategic and traditional ties with the West. They would receive assistance quickly if they needed it. They may not.

I suspect that Putin is showing his nuclear card as a bluff, as an intimidation factor. He can take his bullying only so far, and it shows that Putin can't muster the military strength to fight off NATO using conventional weapons and tactics. When he threatens with nukes, we can be assured that he's really frightened that he may indeed LOSE this war.

The UKR "officer" had at least one thing right: the enormous cost of the war will drain them, especially when they can't get raw materials for manufacturing more weapons. The oligarchs-- and Putin-- don't want to give up their billions for the war effort. They are NOT Russian patriots who would impoverish themselves to contribute to the war effort. This is NOT a defensive war. So the state treasury, with no ability to borrow more money for war making, will run out of cash. Modern mechanized weapons, like tanks, run on microchips. Without them, tanks become farmland ornaments. And microchip manufacturing and raw materials comes partially from outside Russia. Sanctions means that they can't equip their weaponry and their inventory is diminishing with no promise of re-stocking.

Supply lines WILL become susceptible to sabotage since Russia's blitzkrieg will never materialize, and supplies are likely running out. Occupation forces are hated. There will be no end to counterinsurgency attacks. My guess is that, already, Russian morale is tanking. Soldiers are getting news that the Russian citizenry is rebelling with anti-Putin demonstrations. They are despised at home and in Ukraine.

Without the West's opposition, and especially without the US/NATO strengthening alliances (since Trump's loss), Putin's adventure into Ukraine WOULD be a blitzkrieg and a much easier takeover.

No matter what happens to Zelenskyy, he will be forever revered as the UKR president-patriot who fought-- really fought-- beside his countrymen and women to save his country. If he and Ukraine survive the Russian invasion and Ukraine remains sovereign, he has the reasonable potential of becoming a world leader. Do not underestimate his actions at this moment.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

He hasn't yet felt most of the hurt that's coming his way. eShirl Feb 2022 #1
NATO is on his doorstep. Hear that Sweden and Finland? ProudMNDemocrat Feb 2022 #2
Russia had been practicing within the Finnish borders and seizing their islands for a possible war. TheBlackAdder Feb 2022 #26
Oh I'm sure Pooty is having fits blue-wave Feb 2022 #3
Seize all the oligarchs assets in foreign countries, Historic NY Feb 2022 #4
+1 dalton99a Feb 2022 #9
And another +1... calimary Feb 2022 #35
Some of the points make sense (5-7), Hav Feb 2022 #5
yes, that was my question too, how would the UKR know this ? nt steve2470 Feb 2022 #8
I too think a lot of this is wishful thinking MaryMagdaline Feb 2022 #13
The level of confidence that this "intelligence" is likely lower than we'd like. But... Eyeball_Kid Feb 2022 #22
#5 is pretty chilling. Scrivener7 Feb 2022 #11
Sounds plagiarized from WWII propaganda. "Lair in the Urals"? Hortensis Feb 2022 #28
Pooty Poot poops his pants. Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Feb 2022 #6
This is why I have some doubts about the "They're sending in inexperienced forces first" ck4829 Feb 2022 #7
I love to read these stories, but...... SergeStorms Feb 2022 #10
I wanna believe but it is wartime bucolic_frolic Feb 2022 #12
I don't think that NATO countries have reason to be petrified. Not even Finland and Sweden, Eyeball_Kid Feb 2022 #17
MOST interesting. calimary Feb 2022 #34
I'd take that report with a giant grain of salt... Happy Hoosier Feb 2022 #14
His "vaunted military" was only vaunted in his little rat brain, MarineCombatEngineer Feb 2022 #21
This is great except the more angry this lunatic gets.. honest.abe Feb 2022 #15
Like a massive cyber attack on the US, gab13by13 Feb 2022 #16
my understanding is, a very severe cyber-attack on the USA can trigger NATO article 5 steve2470 Feb 2022 #20
IMO, yes on 1, no on 2. Eyeball_Kid Feb 2022 #24
Yeah, good question. honest.abe Feb 2022 #23
Riho Terras is a good source. BlueWavePsych Feb 2022 #18
Today or tomorrow deaniac21 Feb 2022 #19
So about 2weeks until Chinese weapons start showing up in the field Fullduplexxx Feb 2022 #25
There's a reason few nations buy Chinese weapons Kaleva Feb 2022 #27
Is it possible that Putin has met his own Waterloo? calimary Feb 2022 #29
It's possible. But Putin won't admit that Roc2020 Feb 2022 #30
Unless some in his inner circle ease him away from "the button." calimary Feb 2022 #33
Putin knows his life is on the line, too. tclambert Feb 2022 #31
2/7 Exactly. All the shinny, techie stuff..... paleotn Feb 2022 #32
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