Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

gravity

(4,157 posts)

3. I think Silver was being conservative with estimates

Reply to cthulu2016 (Original post)

Thu Nov 15, 2012, 04:15 PM

Nov 2012

He tested for assumptions that polls could have been wrong or systematically biased one way or the other.

The polls however were surprisingly more accurate than expected.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

A mathematical irony [View all] cthulu2016 Nov 2012 OP

The odds of hitting any one particular combination were a lot lower. immoderate Nov 2012 #1

I think you're doing the math wrong mathematic Nov 2012 #2

I think Silver was being conservative with estimates gravity Nov 2012 #3

if you asked nate prior to the election the odds of him getting ALL 51 calls right, he would have unblock Nov 2012 #4