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14. It's highly unlikely that the strong positive trend we're seeing is a whole bunch of separate pollsters...

Thu Aug 8, 2024, 03:41 PM

Aug 2024

...all changing their modeling at the same time in more or less the same way.

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Even if you don't trust polling, you should at least trust polling TRENDS [View all] RidinWithHarris Aug 2024 OP

Note: averages are not the same as trends Fiendish Thingy Aug 2024 #2

Always ColinC Aug 2024 #3

Also, while I would argue polling averages are more accurate VMA131Marine Aug 2024 #5

There's no fixed window of time that you have to use for polling averages RidinWithHarris Aug 2024 #10

That's why I say they are a lagging indicator. VMA131Marine Aug 2024 #18

THANK YOU !!! Rubyshoo Aug 2024 #6

LFG RedSpartan Aug 2024 #7

Trends are only valid if they dont change their turnout models getagrip_already Aug 2024 #8

Im not saying that.. getagrip_already Aug 2024 #16

Basically polling now is the same as it was pre-debate WarGamer Aug 2024 #12

The same? Where do you see that? RidinWithHarris Aug 2024 #15

Fair enough RidinWithHarris Aug 2024 #19

Eh Cosmocat Aug 2024 #20

yes, i only look at trends, everything else is just noise. nt ImNotGod Aug 2024 #13