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Pototan

(1,750 posts)
Tue Aug 13, 2024, 05:32 AM Aug 13

New Poll: Bulfinch Group: Harris Leads in Penn., Wisc., Mich [View all]

In a just released poll from The Bulfinch Group conducted for The Independent Center, Harris does better than she did in the blockbuster NY Times/Siena poll from just a few days ago. This new poll shows Harris ahead in Wisconsin at 51% and Trump at 42%. With third parties included, Harris holds that same 9-point lead at 49% to 40%. In the all-important swing state of Pennsylvania, Harris holds a 4% lead at 49% to Trump's 42%. Including third parties, the margin remains 4 points at 45% to 41%. In Michigan, the Harris lead is 5 points in a head-to-head with Trump; 48% to 43%. That leads expands to 6 points with third parties included 46% to 40%.

Two takeaways for me from this poll. It confirms the NY Times/Siena poll, and RFK Jr. seems to hurt Trump more than Harris.

https://www.independentcenter.org/poll-toplines/exclusive-poll-election-2024-survey-of-swing-states

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