Is Helene the "October Surprise" for this election ?

[Ocelot II]

1. No. An October surprise is a sort of black swan event that wasn't expected and is likely

to have a significant political effect. Hurricanes are expected this time of year; only the level of destruction caused by this particular hurricane so far inland was unexpected. Trump is trying to make a thing of it but it's not working. Shit happens in October just like in every other month, and not every major event in October is an October surprise (anyhow, the hurricane was in September). If there is one so far, I'd say it was the release of new evidence in the J/6 case today.