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6. women are voting in record numbers
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:03 PM
Oct 2024

...could be republican women voting for Kamala Harris.

Ralston updated today:

To distill: The GOP has built a large ballot lead, but the Dems are showing signs of life with six days of voting left and the day after Election Day usually providing a significant number of mail ballots. (Also we will have cured ballots and same-day registrants, which favored the GOP last cycle but not sure what will happen this time.)

About 440,000 mail ballots have been returned so far, and Dems are winning them by 10 points for a lead of 45,000 ballots. In 2020, the final number was 690,000; in 2022, that number was 523,000.

The Dems are going to need crossovers, a sizable edge with indies and a Clark mail deluge. Not sure all three aren’t possible – will know a lot more by the weekend – but they have a long way to go to turn the ship, whether it’s a battle or cruise.

Keep a close eye on the indies. If the Dems are correct that they have an edge there, as I said above, the greater share of the electorate will help them catch up.


https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024


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