General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: What will be Cat 4 Melissa will devastate this island as it cuts right across on Tuesday [View all]ultralite001
(2,170 posts)Key Messages:
1. Jamaica: Due to Melissas slow motion, a prolonged multi-day
period of damaging winds and heavy rainfall resulting in potentially
catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides is likely to
begin late Saturday or Sunday. There is an increasing risk of
life-threatening storm surge when the center of Melissa nears
Jamaica early next week. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.
2. Haiti: Heavy rainfall will result in catastrophic flash flooding
and landslides across southwestern Haiti into early next week.
Extensive damage to roads and buildings is expected, potentially
isolating communities for an extended period of time. Immediate
preparations to protect life and property should be taken. Strong
winds could also potentially last for a day or more over the Tiburon
peninsula of Haiti.
3. Dominican Republic: Heavy rainfall could produce potentially
catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides in southern
portions of the Dominican Republic.
4. Eastern Cuba and Bahamas: Interests in Cuba and the Bahamas
should monitor the progress of Melissa since there is an increasing
risk of a significant storm storm surge, damaging winds, and heavy
rainfall by the middle of next week. The risk of life-threatening
flash flooding and landslides in eastern Cuba are increasing.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
96HRS 28/1800Z 17.9N 77.4W 120 KT 140 MPH...INLAND IN JAMAICA
120HRS 29/1800Z 21.5N 74.8W 95 KT 110 MPH...OVER WATER
Another Air Force Reserve and a NOAA-P3 reconnaissance mission
will be in the storm tonight to provide more data on Melissa's intensity
and structure.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atl