General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: The fact that Graham Platner is apparently leading Gov. Mills in the Maine primary is ageism out of control [View all]womanofthehills
(10,532 posts)Looks like young progressives are for Platner and Seniors and college educated women are for for Mills.
### Key Recent Polls (Democratic Primary):
- **University of New Hampshire Survey Center (UNH)** (Oct. 1621, 2025; n=506 Democratic likely voters; ±4.3% MOE): Platner 58%, Mills 24%, undecided 14%, others 4%. *Conducted mostly before the tattoo revelation.*
- **National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC)** (Oct. 2223, 2025; n=647 Democratic likely voters; ±3.5% MOE): Platner 46%, Mills 25%, Jordan Wood 3%, undecided 26%. *Post-controversy; Platner favorables at +50 among Democrats.
- **Informed Ballot** (Oct. 2125, 2025; n=500 likely voters; unstated MOE): UnpromptedPlatner 36%, Mills 41%, undecided 20%. Prompted on tattooPlatner 29%, Mills 59%. *Shows controversy impact, with Mills leading among older voters, women, and college grads.*
- **Emerson College Polling** (Oct. 2123, 2025; n=935 likely voters; unstated MOE for primary subsample): Platner 47%, Mills 31%, Wood 3%. *Post-controversy crosstabs not detailed publicly.*
### Prediction Markets (as of Oct. 2425, 2025):
- **Kalshi**: Platner 53% chance of winning primary (up 27 points in a day), Mills 43%.
- **Polymarket**: Platner 56% chance (up 30 points in two days), Mills 41%.