Which faction do you want to win the Syrian Civil War?

[cthulu2016]

Last edited Fri Aug 30, 2013, 03:16 PM - Edit history (1)

My general theory of this last week is that most of the world has to admit (to themselves and each other, behind closed doors) that they do not want Assad deposed because some of the plausible alternatives are much worse than Assad remaining in power.

So the mission becomes, deter Assad from future use of chemical weapons while in no way weakening his position.

It is a thread-the-needle mission of a sort that, upon reflection, most governments will conclude cannot plausibly by carried out by bombs.

That is, IMO, why the world has walked away from this thing. It is not that they do not care. It is that they are not confident that any target set, any particular set of GPS coordinates fed into missiles this week will reliably make the world a better place, over-all.