Yale Researchers Project 90,000 Ebola Deaths In Monrovia Alone

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The latest figures from the World Health Organization show that Ebola epidemic has claimed nearly 5,000 lives, mostly in West Africa. But as we hear, that number could be 18 times greater in just one county in Liberia within two months.

Of the three countries in West Africa afflicted by the Ebola virus, Liberia has been hit the worst. In Monrovia, the infection rate remains intense according to the World Health Organization.

The organization has made multiple appeals for aid from developed nations. Some aid has arrived. Some new treatment centers have been built, but a new study from Yale University shows that, even if all the aid already pledged came through, it would not be enough to control the epidemic in Liberia's Montserrado County, where a quarter of Liberia's people live and which includes Monrovia.

The research shows that, without greater efforts, more than 170,000 people will get Ebola and, of that number, more than 90,000 will die by mid-December in just this one area.

Dr. David Fisman, at the University of Toronto, reviewed the study which was published in The Lancet Infectious Diseases.

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http://www.voanews.com/content/yale-researchers-project-90000-ebola-deaths-in-monrovia-alone/2494607.html



Washington: The Ebola epidemic already devastating swaths of West Africa will explode by mid-December and could kill tens of thousands of people unless urgent action is taken, a new study warned Friday.

A team of seven scientists from Yale University's Schools of Public Health and Medicine and the Ministry of Health and Social Welfare in Liberia developed a mathematical transmission model of the viral disease and applied it to Liberia's most populous county, Montserrado, an area already hard hit.

The researchers determined that tens of thousands of new Ebola cases - and deaths - are likely by December 15 if the epidemic continues on its present course.

"Our predictions highlight the rapidly closing window of opportunity for controlling the outbreak and averting a catastrophic toll of new Ebola cases and deaths in the coming months," said Alison Galvani, professor of epidemiology at the School of Public Health and the paper's senior author.

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http://zeenews.india.com/news/health/health-news/ebola-epidemic-likely-to-explode-by-mid-december-study_1488963.html