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Octafish

(55,745 posts)
25. That is a great line.
Sun Dec 28, 2014, 10:43 PM
Dec 2014

Truth. And with it and the awesome nature of the Quantum Wave Function,



Reality. From History that's not seen on tee vee:



Two experts report on how a group of Cold War true believers were invited to second-guess the CIA. Did the "outside experts" of the 1970s contribute to the military buildup of the 1980s?

By Anne Hessing Cahn
April 1993 pp. 22, 24-27 (vol. 49, no. 03) © 1993 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

lection years have much in common. They produce a profusion of punditry, media attention, and politically expedient action, quickly forgotten, and with little lasting impact. But not always; sometimes events are set into motion that have long lifetimes. This was the case in 1976 when, as in 1992, an incumbent Republican president faced a strong challenge from the right wing of his own party. Then (as last year) sops were offered to placate the far right and, while it is too early to know which of the 1992 capers will endure, we now know a great deal about one of the most political events of 1976, and its remarkably long-lasting effects on U.S. policy.

Late last year, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) released the 1976 "Team B" reports. Team B was an experiment in competitive threat assessments approved by then-Director of Central Intelligence George Bush. Teams of "outside experts" were to take independent looks at the highly classified data used by the intelligence community to assess Soviet strategic forces in the yearly National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs). NIEs are authoritative and are widely circulated within the government. U.S. national security policy on various issues as well as the defense budget are based on their general conclusions. Although NIEs represent the collective judgment of the entire intelligence community, the lead agency is the CIA.

There were three "B" teams. One studied Soviet low-altitude air defense capabilities, one examined Soviet intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) accuracy, and one investigated Soviet strategic policy and objectives. But it is the third team, chaired by Harvard professor Richard Pipes, that ultimately received considerable publicity and is commonly referred to as Team B.

The Team B experiment was concocted by conservative cold warriors determined to bury détente and the SALT process. Panel members were all hard-liners. The experiment was leaked to the press in an unsuccessful attempt at an "October surprise." But most important, the Team B reports became the intellectual foundation of "the window of vulnerability" and of the massive arms buildup that began toward the end of the Carter administration and accelerated under President Reagan.

How did the Team B notion come about? In 1974, Albert Wohlstetter, a professor at the University of Chicago, accused the CIA of systematically underestimating Soviet missile deployment, and conservatives began a concerted attack on the CIA's annual assessment of the Soviet threat. This assessment--the NIE--was an obvious target.

In the mid-1970s, the CIA was vulnerable on three counts. First, it was still reeling from the 1975 congressional hearings about covert assassination attempts on foreign leaders and other activities. Second, it was considered "payback time" by hard-liners, who were still smarting from the CIA's realistic assessments during the Vietnam war years--assessments that failed to see light at the end of the tunnel. And finally, between 1973 and 1976, there were four different directors of central intelligence, in contrast to the more stately progression of four directors in the preceding 20 years.

The vehicle chosen from within the administration to challenge the CIA was the President's Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board (PFIAB). Formed as the Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Affairs by President Eisenhower in 1956, PFIAB was reconstituted by President Kennedy in 1961 after the Bay of Pigs fiasco. Members are appointed by the president but hold no other government positions (except possibly on other advisory committees or panels). By 1975, PFIAB was a home for such conservatives as William Casey, John Connally, John Foster, Clare Booth Luce, and Edward Teller.

CONTINUED via WAYBACK MACHINE IA:

http://web.archive.org/web/20050312091451/http://www.thebulletin.org/article.php?art_ofn=apr93cahn



Thank you, MinM! The idea is that there be no next time next time, yet they want to spend America's blood and treasure like it will and are doing all they can to make it so since Nov. 22, 1963.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Beautiful artwork. Without war, creativity abounds. Dont call me Shirley Dec 2014 #1
''Without war, creativity abounds.'' Octafish Dec 2014 #10
Thank you Octafish. I have learned so much from you. I respect your opinion immensely. Dont call me Shirley Dec 2014 #12
What you said is profound. Octafish Dec 2014 #15
Thank you! Dont call me Shirley Dec 2014 #24
The true enemies of freedom have common cause. True Blue Door Dec 2014 #2
Absolutely. That's why BFEE Overthrew Iranian Democracy for BP. Octafish Dec 2014 #11
No, you have a good point. What we talk about lives above the heads of politicians. Rex Dec 2014 #19
Sometimes I wonder if Bush V. Gore was a coup staged by the military industrial complex. Initech Dec 2014 #3
I once heard the following analogy; A HERETIC I AM Dec 2014 #6
I, too, am still FURIOUS about NAZI Selection 2000. Octafish Dec 2014 #13
Wow that's a lot of information there. Initech Dec 2014 #22
Sometimes I wonder if 9/11 was staged by the MIC in order to distract from Rex Dec 2014 #20
Imagine what could have been... Quantess Dec 2014 #4
2001-2011: What the Top 1-Percent Has Done For Us Octafish Dec 2014 #17
The US had so much potential to lead the world away from its history of Imperialism and forever war. sabrina 1 Dec 2014 #5
It seems like those that are greedy rise to the top. America was destine to fall. We raped rhett o rick Dec 2014 #7
Inventing the Abbotts MinM Dec 2014 #8
That is a great line. Octafish Dec 2014 #25
War. It's a money maker for elites JEB Dec 2014 #9
War! Huh! What is it good for? Profit! Sing it again y'all! Initech Dec 2014 #14
K&R for the original post and subsequent informative posts and links. JEB Dec 2014 #16
K&R Go Vols Dec 2014 #18
Another great post malaise Dec 2014 #21
I don't think people in this country even know that 57% of the budget goes to MIC BrotherIvan Dec 2014 #23
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