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Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
27. Are you sure Obama is going to screw us and endorse a bad agreement? Or is it possible a
Tue Mar 17, 2015, 03:02 PM
Mar 2015

trade agreement might be for our, and the world's good long-term.

While I read all the bad stuff that COULD happen from groups who need to attract interest to keep their organization viable, I wonder whether they really know. I mean they talk about how secret the negotiations are, but they seem to know all the bad things that will happen.

Is it possible that the truth is not as bad as some folks believe. Could it be more like this post on a website in Oregon:

"Trans-Pacific Partnership: Our company, Nutcase helmets, is one of thousands in Oregon that rely on overseas customers for growth. With support from local economic development agencies and improvements in technology, accessing global markets is becoming less burdensome for small companies. But we need modern trading rules to ensure a more level playing field. That's why we support President Barack Obama's call for passage of the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement.

"The agreement would raise environmental, labor and intellectual property protections in Asian countries like Vietnam and Malaysia, while also giving Oregon exporters lower tariffs and more consistent access to markets like Japan and Canada.

"Trade has been good for our company. It's fueled our growth and allowed us to hire more Oregonians who share a passion for our products. We hope that the members of our congressional delegation embrace the opportunity to deepen our relationship with Oregon's most important trading partners in the Pacific Rim."

http://www.oregonlive.com/opinion/index.ssf/2015/03/trans-pacific_partnership_deba.html

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To repeat what I have posted before, I'm still convinced Obama will not endorse a final agreement that sells us down the river. I know there are plenty who thought he'd gut Social Security, push the pipeline, work against net neutrality, etc., but he hasn't.

And I believe Obama when he responded to Matt Yglesias a few weeks ago by saying: "Where Americans have a legitimate reason to be concerned is that in part this rise has taken place on the backs of an international system in which China wasn't carrying its own weight or following the rules of the road and we were, and in some cases we got the short end of the stick. This is part of the debate that we're having right now in terms of the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the trade deal that, you know, we've been negotiating. There are a lot of people who look at the last 20 years and say, 'Why would we want another trade deal that hasn't been good for American workers? It allowed outsourcing of American companies locating jobs in low-wage China and then selling it back to Walmart. And, yes, we got cheaper sneakers, but we also lost all our jobs.'"

"And my argument is two-fold. Number one: precisely because that horse is out of the barn, the issue we're trying to deal with right now is, can we make for a higher bar on labor, on environmental standards, et cetera, in that region and write a set of rules where it's fairer, because right now it's not fair, and if you want to improve it, that means we need a new trading regime. We can't just rely on the old one because the old one isn't working for us."

"But the second reason it's important is because the countries we're negotiating with are the same countries that China is trying to negotiate with. And if we don't write the rules out there, China's going to write the rules. And the geopolitical implications of China writing the rules for trade or maritime law or any kind of commercial activity almost inevitably means that we will be cut out or we will be deeply disadvantaged. Our businesses will be disadvantaged, our workers will be disadvantaged. So when I hear, when I talk to labor organizations, I say, right now, we've been hugely disadvantaged. Why would we want to maintain the status quo? If we can organize a new trade deal in which a country like Vietnam for the first time recognizes labor rights and those are enforceable, that's a big deal. It doesn't mean that we're still not going to see wage differentials between us and them, but they're already selling here for the most part. And what we have the opportunity to do is to set long-term trends that keep us in the game in a place that we've got to be. . . . . . ."

http://www.vox.com/a/barack-obama-interview-vox-conversation/obama-foreign-policy-transcript

__________________


Truthfully, it appears to me we are undermining Obama's chance to get something that helps our country (and others) long-term. Whatever fears we conjure up on this issue, I am convinced doing nothing will not help us long-term.

I'm also reminded of something Paul Krugman said recently -- People I normally agree with, blame NAFTA for things caused by other factors. Even recent TPP critic Robert Reich, says he still believes NAFTA was good, but should have gone further with respect to human rights and the environment. I'll be darned, if that is not what Obama says he is trying to do.

But, we all know he's secretively trying to screw us, and big corporations are going to make a lot of money (as if mom-and-pop local businesses -- who often pay the lowest wages -- have the means to compete in international trade).

Personally, as long as human/worker rights, the environment, etc., are improved, I'm fine with these companies making big bucks -- but spreading the wealth to us and other countries, either through paying decent wages or taxing the hell out of them.

End of Rant

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

The first thing that came flashing in front of my eyes madokie Mar 2015 #1
I love Obama. Octafish Mar 2015 #6
I also 100% trust Obama....in these times of a fascist coup do we really have a choice? Fred Sanders Mar 2015 #10
No, obviously this one would be passed by a majority in both houses so it would not TheKentuckian Mar 2015 #15
A knowledge of history and international law would be helpful in a debate about treaties versus international contracts. Fred Sanders Mar 2015 #16
Only four Senators voted against Froman MannyGoldstein Mar 2015 #2
Froman's got dual citizenship: Wall Street and Washington Octafish Mar 2015 #5
Mind blowing MannyGoldstein Mar 2015 #25
It's jaw dropping isn't it? Still scraping mine from the floor after all these years. 2banon Mar 2015 #39
That's what republicans say about our secret negotiations with Iran and other countries. n/t pampango Mar 2015 #3
It's also what my Democratic friends said about NAFTA. Octafish Mar 2015 #4
And even more republicans (the base not the politicians) say that about NAFTA and other agreements. pampango Mar 2015 #7
We've talked about this before on DU. Here's what I've found regarding NAFTA. Octafish Mar 2015 #8
To blame all bad economic events on something that is less than 3% of the economy is pampango Mar 2015 #9
These trade deals serve to lower US worker compensation. Octafish Mar 2015 #11
Really? Then why did FDR reverse the republican opposition to trade? Why do Germany and Sweden pampango Mar 2015 #14
The lesson remains that when we have similar protections in place will be when we revisit such TheKentuckian Mar 2015 #18
Perhaps we agree that 'similar protections' are what the fight should really be about, then these pampango Mar 2015 #20
Yeah, when we get them in place I'll revisit my stance. TheKentuckian Mar 2015 #31
Exactly. To compare us to Germany and Sweden where labor has so much more stillwaiting Mar 2015 #37
Just because it is not the sole cause doesn't mean it's a good thing. riqster Mar 2015 #13
It was not a 'disaster' under Clinton. And it did not cause the 'disaster' under Bush. He did that pampango Mar 2015 #17
Ummmmm... kindasorta right. riqster Mar 2015 #23
I take your word on that. You obviously know more about that area. pampango Mar 2015 #24
Any non-movable job did well, yes. riqster Mar 2015 #26
And a lot of foreign auto manufacturers moved facilities here. You can't just look at one little Hoyt Mar 2015 #28
True enough. What's the overall net impact on American autoworker employment numbers acompensation? riqster Mar 2015 #29
This message was self-deleted by its author Hoyt Mar 2015 #33
American cars were on a decline long before NAFTA. Computers/produ have affected demand for workers Hoyt Mar 2015 #34
Regardless, NAFTA had an impact. riqster Mar 2015 #35
What would you say if you learned that John Negroponte took full credit in Authoring NAFTA? 2banon Mar 2015 #40
Great post Omaha Steve Mar 2015 #12
Private negotiations are one thing. Private negotiators are another. Octafish Mar 2015 #36
Hey Pampang . . FairWinds Mar 2015 #19
NAFTA will be the bestest thing evah! gratuitous Mar 2015 #30
K&R 2banon Mar 2015 #21
'Progressive' Coalition for Fast Track and TPP Appears from Nowhere Octafish Mar 2015 #38
There's that logic thing again. senseandsensibility Mar 2015 #22
Are you sure Obama is going to screw us and endorse a bad agreement? Or is it possible a Hoyt Mar 2015 #27
It's good for American jobs, they are going to get a free trip overseas compliments of US taxpayers. GoneFishin Mar 2015 #32
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