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In reply to the discussion: I feel like I'm losing my mind with still more Hillary vs. Bernie [View all]hfojvt
(37,573 posts)The same case against Nader applies to Bernie.
Trump is President now because he won three states
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Wisconsin - margin of victory 23,000 votes Johnson 106,000 votes, Stein 31,000 votes
Pennsylvania - margin of victory 44,000 votes, Johnson 146,700 votes, Stein 49,900 votes
Michigan - margin of victory 10,700 votes, Johnson 172,136, Stein 51,463 votes
Those are facts, and so are these
Michigan - Trump 2.28 million, Hillary 2.27 million
Pennsylvania - Trump 2.97 million, Hillary 2.93 million
Wisconsin - Trump 1.41 million, Hillary 1.38 million
2012 election results
Wisconsin - Obama 1.62 million, Romney 1.41 million, Johnson 20,400, Stein 7,600
Pennsylvania - Obama 2.99 million, Romney 2.68 million, Johnson 50,000, Stein 21,300
Michigan - Obama 2.56 million, Romney 2.1 million, Johnson 7,800, Stein 21,900
combine those two elections (difference between 2016 and 2012)
Wisconsin - Trump +0, Hillary -240,000, Johnson +86,000, Stein +23,000
Pennsylvania - Trump +290,000, Hillary -60,000, Johnson +96,000, Stein +28,600
Michigan - Trump +180,000, Hillary -290,000, Johnson +164,000, Stein +29,500
Just one more set of facts
1. losing hurts - it makes people angry and sad
2. Bernie lost the primary thus likely to make at least SOME of his supporters angry or sad
3. the message was spread that the DNC, if not Hillary herself, cheated
4. the message was spread that Hillary was VERY likely to win the general election
5. because of #4 it is very likely that SOME angry or sad Bernie supporters felt they could Safety dance with a 3rd party candidate
6. the numbers, less votes for Hillary and more votes for Johnson and Stein, would indicate that they did
okay, #5 and #6 are speculative rather than factual, but it is speculation based on facts. I base that on my own experience too. In 1996 it was said that Clinton was going to win easily. As such, I my own damn self, felt safe to cast a protest vote for a 4th party candidate even though I really, really did NOT want Dole to win.
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