Over a Quarter of SF Voters Still Undecided, But Breed and Farrell Still Lead Mayor's Race In New Poll [View all]
Former Supervisor and (briefly) Mayor Mark Farrell leads incumbent Mayor London Breed by the slimmest of margins in a new poll, with Daniel Lurie and Supervisors Aaron Peskin and Asha Safai trailing. But over a quarter of voters polled said they were still undecided about the race.
This is the first time in many years that San Francisco will have a mayoral election in the same cycle as a national general election, which will hopefully mean more voter turnout and a more competitive race all around. And San Francisco's ranked-choice voting system is sure to keep us from a definitive answer about who our next mayor will be for at least a week after the election occurs, if not more.
KRON4 just conducted their own poll, in conjunction with Emerson College, which found that Mark Farrell would take 20.6% of first-choice votes if the election were held today, and Breed would take 20.3% — a statistically insignificant difference given a margin of error of 3.5%.
Daniel Lurie trails behind with 17.5% of first-choice votes, but he could be a dark-horse contender via ranked choice — he takes 21% of the second-choice votes in this poll, which is well above Breed's 12.8% and Farrell's 14.7%. That could easily catapult him into leading position as the ranked-choice rounds shake out, especially if those who are undecided start to favor him.
https://sfist.com/2024/09/10/over-a-quarter-of-sf-voters-still-undecided-but-breed-and-farrell-still-lead-mayors-race-in-new-poll/