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Economy

progree

(12,275 posts)

11. Isn't the earnings denominator in CAPE an inflation-adjusted average of past 10 years?

Reply to at140 (Reply #9)

Tue Aug 11, 2020, 09:39 AM

Aug 2020

Hasn't the CAPE been above 1929 levels for a few years now? Anyway, since it's an average of 10 years (40 quarters), it is pretty insensitive to change, such as the one disastrous quarter so far (Q1).

What worries me is earnings now: Q1 2020, which are down 66% from Q1 2019, with Q2 looking like it's going to be way worse (given that the GDP decline in Q2 was much more severe than in Q1), post#6 bottom

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Stock market futures sky high again today! [View all] at140 Aug 2020 OP

January 21, 2021 of course. jimfields33 Aug 2020 #1

Laundering taxpayer $$$... 2naSalit Aug 2020 #2

Even a 3rd grader can understand this chart------ at140 Aug 2020 #3

Personal income was up 7.3% in the 2nd quarter, and up 10.1% over Q2 2019 progree Aug 2020 #6

Without gov't support personal income was DOWN 6.1% at140 Aug 2020 #8

"What happens when gov't reduces printing money?" - the deep 33.9% dive of the S&P 500 progree Aug 2020 #10

well, if the stock market is at under 20k, his approval rating would crash like Bush Claustrum Aug 2020 #4

They will levitate the market until after election is over... at140 Aug 2020 #5

Just an indicator of BillyBobBrilliant Aug 2020 #7

Not currently! at140 Aug 2020 #9

Isn't the earnings denominator in CAPE an inflation-adjusted average of past 10 years? progree Aug 2020 #11

See Cape P/E chart here at140 Aug 2020 #13

Strange that I didn't find this. I Googled and found some versions that were a couple years old at progree Aug 2020 #15

Stimulus, vaccine hopes, and now Caligula says is considering a cap gains tax cut progree Aug 2020 #12

Mother of all crashes is within sights... at140 Aug 2020 #14