The NFC playoffs is an 8-man race for 7 spots

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Even though Week 12 still isn’t even over, it’s very obvious who the NFC’s playoff spots will come down to. Both NFL Pro’s data and the New York Times’ playoff predictor have the following teams with less than a two percent chance of making the postseason: the Atlanta Falcons, Minnesota Vikings, Arizona Cardinals, Washington Commanders, New Orleans Saints and New York Giants. With so many teams on the brink of elimination, we’ll break down what matters for the Green Bay Packers moving forward.

NFC Playoff Odds
Los Angeles Rams: 100% (NFL Pro), 100% (NYT)

Philadelphia Eagles: 99%, 100%

Seattle Seahawks: 90%, 91%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 83%, 80%

San Francisco 49ers: 80%, 82%

Detroit Lions: 76%, 80%

Green Bay Packers: 78%, 77%

Chicago Bears: 62%, 54%

Carolina Panthers: 20%, 22%

Dallas Cowboys: 10%, 13%

Atlanta Falcons: 2%, 1%

Minnesota Vikings: 1%, 0%

Arizona Cardinals: 0%, 0%

Washington Commanders: 0%, 0%

New Orleans Saints: 0%, 0%

New York Giants: 0%, 0% – already mathematically eliminated

So what does all this data mean? First of all, pay attention to the numbers from the NFC South. Basically, there’s about a 3 to 5 percent chance that the NFC South gets a second spot in the playoffs. Otherwise, the Buccaneers and Panthers, whichever wins the South, will just get one spot in the postseason.

That’s important because the NFC South basically does not influence the wildcard seeding. Excluding the South, there are no teams between the Chicago Bears (62%, 54%) and the Dallas Cowboys (10%, 13%) in the playoff race. The gap between these two teams is the most pronounced split in the league right now.

https://sports.yahoo.com/article/nfc-playoffs-8-man-race-122335806.html