2016 Postmortem

RealAmericanDem

(221 posts) Wed Mar 2, 2016, 06:36 PM Mar 2016

The math just ain't there for Bernie [View all]

Crunch the numbers. To get the delegates needed to win the dem nomination Bernie must win ALL the remaining states by at least a 60/40 split. If he just ties Hillary she still wins.

Bottom line is that just as the Evangelical voters are the repubs base the black voters are the dems base and NO ONE can win the dem nomination without winning the black vote.

If Bernie really cared about making sure a dem inhabits the white house next year he needs to back off and start campaigning for Hillary.

ANYONE who does not realize the implications with the Supreme Court if a repub take the presidency is in for a real rude awakening that will have terrible ramifications for a generation.

Them are the facts; like them or don't.

64 replies

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The math just ain't there for Bernie [View all] RealAmericanDem Mar 2016 OP

He is NOT backing off he is going to the convention. Our voices will be heard loud and clear. bkkyosemite Mar 2016 #1

Go and take the pledge if you mean that Milliesmom Mar 2016 #45

This: seaotter Mar 2016 #2

yea that makes sense; the candidate who has won the most states should leave. RealAmericanDem Mar 2016 #6

She can not win the GE her negatives are too high. THEM IS THE FACTS. seaotter Mar 2016 #10

She's fatally flawed... except against Trump scheming daemons Mar 2016 #12

That is wishful thinking. seaotter Mar 2016 #13

Yes you can. scheming daemons Mar 2016 #18

Hang on to that. seaotter Mar 2016 #53

No it is not wishful thinking. truedelphi Mar 2016 #34

I am a Bernie supporter. seaotter Mar 2016 #56

Nope. If he runs against her, he wins. closeupready Mar 2016 #15

The data suggest you're incorrect scheming daemons Mar 2016 #20

To say that she may be able to squeek past Trump in the GE is hardly a good point to make. seaotter Mar 2016 #29

+5 to +8 over Trump in the latest polls.... hardly "squeaking" past scheming daemons Mar 2016 #30

Speak squeak seaotter Mar 2016 #52

"People just do not like or trust her". auntpurl Mar 2016 #14

If by droves you mean lower numbers from past elections, then closeupready Mar 2016 #16

But, I mean, why would they do that? auntpurl Mar 2016 #24

See my post below. seaotter Mar 2016 #27

HRC's strength is that Americans do not yet know how to wrench truedelphi Mar 2016 #35

No one is stopping Independents from running for local office, getting involved auntpurl Mar 2016 #36

So you' re saying that no one is stopping Independents from running for office - truedelphi Mar 2016 #44

Again, starting with the presidency is not what I'm suggesting. auntpurl Mar 2016 #46

If Bernie had run to be the Comptroller, none of us would realize how much support exists to wrench truedelphi Mar 2016 #48

Well, statistically it's not impossible. auntpurl Mar 2016 #58

They will not be nearly enough in the GE. seaotter Mar 2016 #23

See my post above. auntpurl Mar 2016 #25

The congress is waiting for a new president before it will have hearings artislife Mar 2016 #7

You're barking up the wrong tree. seaotter Mar 2016 #11

Message auto-removed Name removed Mar 2016 #3

Doesn't matter. We are exposing the machine artislife Mar 2016 #4

So "exposing the machine" is worth having a 9 - 2 conservative Supreme Court? RealAmericanDem Mar 2016 #17

Do you really think SHE can stop it? artislife Mar 2016 #22

The US Supreme Court is quite conservative. truedelphi Mar 2016 #59

Yes, math angrychair Mar 2016 #5

Predictions of the future are something different than facts. immoderate Mar 2016 #8

Keep whistling. It's entertaining. n/t bvf Mar 2016 #9

And yet, Bettie Mar 2016 #19

55/45 according to this: Yuugal Mar 2016 #21

There is no reason to believe that will happen hack89 Mar 2016 #28

They said Bernie would only win VT, also. Yuugal Mar 2016 #31

And those victories were not blow outs. hack89 Mar 2016 #33

He needs BIG victories ... and often ... that's just not going to happen. NurseJackie Mar 2016 #47

But he's going to lose Michigan, Florida and Louisiana... SidDithers Mar 2016 #49

Interesting how the percentage keeps growing every time someone posts revbones Mar 2016 #26

It depends if you count super delegates or only pledged delegates taught_me_patience Mar 2016 #32

How is it insurmountable? This isn't a general election where each side is MillennialDem Mar 2016 #43

The honorable thing would be to step aside. Instead, Clinton has to waste valuable time, energy, Hoyt Mar 2016 #37

You're talking about Bernie Sanders not having honor??? truedelphi Mar 2016 #54

These memes are getting boring. I'm just going to trash the thread. liberal_at_heart Mar 2016 #38

Does your math include the super-delegates by any chance? Dragonfli Mar 2016 #39

One side can start running away with this. A contested bloody primary would probably MillennialDem Mar 2016 #40

why you guys working this so hard? restorefreedom Mar 2016 #41

The math just ain't there for CLinton basselope Mar 2016 #42

Young voters are not the base because so many never show up to vote. Not even for Bernie. RealAmericanDem Mar 2016 #50

Incorrect. YOUNG PEOPLE got Obama elected. basselope Mar 2016 #62

I love you. JaneyVee Mar 2016 #51

Well, I'm newly single. Send a picture. ;-) RealAmericanDem Mar 2016 #55

Ha! Maybe a selfie. JaneyVee Mar 2016 #57

Just picture a little older Brad Pitt and you will know what I look like. ;-) RealAmericanDem Mar 2016 #60

Hillary will get... Mike Nelson Mar 2016 #61

yep RealAmericanDem Mar 2016 #63

Don't quit your day job ... GeorgeGist Mar 2016 #64