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2016 Postmortem

Cheese Sandwich

(9,086 posts)

1. 54% is correct.

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Tue Mar 15, 2016, 05:43 AM

Mar 2016

Bernie will have to win about 54% of pledged delegates between now and June to get a majority of pledged delegates. Superdelegates are separate from that, they do what they want.

I've been through this about 5 times today and keep coming to 53% or 54%

I used the numbers listed on Real Clear Politics. These are slightly different than what you gave, not sure why, but the concept is the same.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html

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1332 pledged delegates are assigned so far. Can we all just agree on the arithmetic? [View all] Recursion Mar 2016 OP

54% is correct. Cheese Sandwich Mar 2016 #1

And by the way, on superdelegates, Cheese Sandwich Mar 2016 #2

Only if the super delegates think that Sanders would help party and down ballot candidates Gothmog Mar 2016 #4

And they will make that decision by July, and they will deal with the consequences. Cheese Sandwich Mar 2016 #12

Why Hillary Clinton’s delegate lead over Bernie Sanders is bigger than it looks Gothmog Mar 2016 #3

Comparing her lead to a past race does not make her lead bigger. morningfog Mar 2016 #5

Yes and a 90 delegate lead was sufficient for Obama Gothmog Mar 2016 #6

The candidate with the most pledged delegates at the convention will be the nominee. MineralMan Mar 2016 #7

Here is a good video on the delegate math Gothmog Mar 2016 #8

Yes. It's unlikely, although not impossible, that Bernie will win the nomination bigwillq Mar 2016 #9

So Sanders only needs to win 54% of the remaining elected delegates! That's doable! imagine2015 Mar 2016 #10

700 delegates up for grabs today oberliner Mar 2016 #11

Agreed Recursion Mar 2016 #14

You got no issue from me nadinbrzezinski Mar 2016 #13

What really matters is that Bernie fight for every delegate between now and the convention. aikoaiko Mar 2016 #15