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2016 Postmortem

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CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
Mon May 23, 2016, 11:26 AM May 2016

Do Sanders Supporters Favor His Policies? [View all]

It is a widely held assumption that since young people have flocked enthusiastically to the Bernie Sanders campaign that they by and large they are more liberal than older generations and therefore were more prepared to accept Sanders' message and proposed programs. This thinking also implied that they be less than inclined to be supportive of Hillary Clinton's more moderate messages after the Sanders' campaign folds. This notion ran counter to a number of polls indicating that young people will readily support Hillary over Donald Trump in the general election.

An article in the New York times for the first time explains this apparent contradiction to my satisfaction. It appears that Sanders appealed to young people not so much because of his politics, but because of his outsider status.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/23/opinion/campaign-stops/do-sanders-supporters-favor-his-policies.html?_r=0

.....More detailed evidence casts further doubt on the notion that support for Mr. Sanders reflects a shift to the left in the policy preferences of Democrats. In a survey conducted for the American National Election Studies in late January, supporters of Mr. Sanders were more pessimistic than Mrs. Clinton’s supporters about “opportunity in America today for the average person to get ahead” and more likely to say that economic inequality had increased.

However, they were less likely than Mrs. Clinton’s supporters to favor concrete policies that Mr. Sanders has offered as remedies for these ills, including a higher minimum wage, increasing government spending on health care and an expansion of government services financed by higher taxes. It is quite a stretch to view these people as the vanguard of a new, social-democratic-trending Democratic Party.

Mr. Sanders has drawn enthusiastic support from young people, a common pattern for outsider candidates. But here, too, the impression of ideological commitment is mostly illusory. While young Democrats in the January survey were more likely than those over age 35 to call themselves liberals, their ideological self-designations seem to have been much more lightly held, varying significantly when they were reinterviewed.
...

For many of them, liberal ideology seems to have been a short-term byproduct of enthusiasm for Mr. Sanders rather than a stable political conviction.

Perhaps for that reason, the generational difference in ideology seems not to have translated into more liberal positions on concrete policy issues — even on the specific issues championed by Mr. Sanders. For example, young Democrats were less likely than older Democrats to support increased government funding of health care, substantially less likely to favor a higher minimum wage and less likely to support expanding government services. Their distinctive liberalism is mostly a matter of adopting campaign labels, not policy preferences........

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