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I know some of you don't like me because I'm a recent convert from the repubs. Some of you think of me as evil for voting for Bush in 2000. Heck, I'm sure there's afew who think I could be a freeper pretending. I guess only time will tell on that one for you guys. I don't know you all really yet, but I do know politics some, and I do know the republican party even more, so this is why I believe the GE is sitting there waiting for the Democrats to win.. or to lose.
It's fairly clear that McCain is going to win the repub nom. All the controversy you see about this.. the apparent dislike by the talk show people and some of the elite's in the party is NOT a smokescreen. McCain has been labeled a "maverick" for years now. What is a maverick? Well.. in this case, it's someone who votes/acts in a different manner than the norm for this specific group. And that's what McCain is known for. Voting against conservative items and ideas on occasion is his MO. It is also his MO to criticize members of his own party. They fought McCain's campaign in earnest up until this last week. At that point, Many of the Repub's party's high-ups saw the writing on the wall, and put out the word for everyone to begin to back McCain regardless. There are still people bucking these orders to include some of the Radio people (though some of them have drastically toned down their displeasure since then). Another group still not backing him is the religious right. As late as 4 days ago, leader's in this group posted letters advising they would never support him... how long their convictions will last we will see. But the real question is what all the people in the middle are going to do. Many of the die-hard blue collar repubs are planning on sitting this election out if McCain wins the nom, my brother included. They see it as a moral stand in defense of their party. Then there's the.. whats a good term for them.. I'll use Ragean Democrats who are still over on the right. They are disenchanted with how things have gone under Bush, and are leaving quietly in droves. Some will sit out the election, some are taken with Obama, and some will vote democrat regardless simply for change. Look at the primary results for evidence.. in those that were closed, turn out for the repubs has been not just low, but outrageously low. In open primaries, Democratic primaries are through the roof while the repubs remain extremely low.
The question remains one for the Democrats. I will say that the rw is loving, and even depending on the "apparent" fracture within the Dem party to last. They believe it will give them a chance to regroup enough to potentially form a solidified front. It is true they fear Obama more than Hillary simply because they think she might cause their party to unite against an old foe, but in all honesty, they fear both to almost the same degree. But again, it will be up to the Democrats to back in force whoever wins our nom in the GE. If this happens, we will win if not by a landslide, then by enough to show a clear mandate.. one that can't be sidestepped, argued with, altered or ignored.
This is all simply my thoughts and opinions based strongly on my irreversible mistake of spending to much time and effort, on the wrong side of the isle. Good luck to both Hillary and Obama.
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