Average of National Polls:
Obama 47.0/McCain 44.0 = Obama + 3.0
Clinton 46.1/McCain 44.7 = Clinton + 1.4
The general election polls averages the latest polls from Gallup Tracking, Rasmussen Tracking, Quinnipiac,ABC News/Wash Post, Democracy Corp, LA Times/Bloomberg, IDBB/TIPP, Battleground
links:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.htmlhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html-------------------------------------------------
Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 63% chance of winning the White House in November
"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up."
"The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 63.0% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "
link:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll------------------