Anyone know any polling data for CT-04 House race?

[eataTREE]

Shays is pretty reasonable for a Republican, but this year I show mercy to no candidate with an R after his name.

I seem to recall that in 2002, the Democratic challenger (I think her name was Sanchez?) did pretty well despite not having a lot of money or big-name support.

Does anyone know how it is looking for Diane Farrell?

It would be nice to pull off a House upset. Unfortunately, Fairfield County is probably the most Republican-leaning in the whole state, thanks to the obscene wealth of its residents.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

1. Sanchez Challenged Shays in 2000 and 2002.

Results:

2000
Shays: 56%
Sanchez: 44%

2002:
Shays: 63%
Sanchez: 37%

02' was an off year election and the war was coming.

We can win this year though.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

2. Also, I live in this district and it voted for Gore 52% 45%. (2000)

Not bad. Fairfield Country as a whole is wealthy but not Right wing at ALL!!!

[eataTREE]

3. Fairfield County went for Gore?

I'm shocked. I thought it would have been a lock for Bush in 2000, especially since he was still running in stealth mode (aka "I'm a uniter, not a divider!")

I got Farrell's campaign flyer in the mail a few weeks ago, and I have to say I wasn't particularily impressed. The theme seemed to be "Vote for me 'cause I'll bring in more pork than Shays does," which failed to uplift or inspire me. Ah well, doesn't matter. I'm voting straight Dem all the way down to dogcatcher.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

4. Every Congressional District (6) and County (8) gave at least 51%....

of their votes to Gore.

If I recall, Litchfield was *51*% Gore 47.8% Bush.

It was close but still Bush lost everyone of them.

I expect that Fairfield County will be alot closer this time as we have had the great MISFORTUNE of having all of those Westchester Country Rethugs move into our area. The rest of the state looks strong for Kerry. I feel like I'm in FReeperland and Connecticut on the whole is NOT a Red State. I can sympathise with my fellow DUer's who live in Red States!

I expect Kerry to get in the upper 50's and Bush in the lower 40's in terms of the vote (one possibility is 58% Kerry/42% Bush).


In 2000, CT went as follows: 56% Gore/38.5% Bush/4% Nader/1.5% Others

[NewJeffCT]

5. I think she has a shot

But, it will still be an uphill battle for her (and Sullivan in my district - the 2nd)...

The district has a lot of old school "Rockefeller Republicans" - liberal on social issues, fiscally responsible.

No idea how the polls are down there, as I am east of Hartford.

[NewJeffCT]

6. According to today's Hartford Courant...

This is Saturday, Oct 23... but, Farrell is within 7 points of Shays.