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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 07:18 PM Original message |
FL Vote analysis: Using registration, machine type, NEP Party ID stats. |
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brettdale (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 07:22 PM Response to Original message |
1. Send this to all media |
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Carolab (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 07:27 PM Response to Reply #1 |
2. Link to media blaster |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 07:56 PM Response to Original message |
3. IS THIS A COINCIDENCE OR WHAT? |
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Carolab (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 08:03 PM Response to Reply #3 |
5. TIA, assuming you've seen this? |
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LatePeriduct (660 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 04:32 AM Response to Reply #5 |
15. Open Voting Consortium is asking for your help and more! |
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LatePeriduct (660 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Apr-21-05 06:19 PM Response to Reply #5 |
42. HUGE UPDATE: He just wrote it today! |
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LatePeriduct (660 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 08:02 PM Response to Original message |
4. This is amazing.... |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 08:24 PM Response to Original message |
6. What are you assuming??? Are you assuming Florida same as national |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 08:52 PM Response to Reply #6 |
7. Here are totals for touch screen counties in Florida |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 08:58 PM Response to Reply #7 |
8. Dems had more visible get out the vote campaign and more |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 10:03 PM Response to Reply #6 |
9. Yes |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 10:25 PM Response to Reply #9 |
10. Does the more detailed data by machine type I supplied change anything? |
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LatePeriduct (660 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-17-05 10:34 PM Response to Reply #10 |
11. I think it should show.. |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 11:18 PM Response to Reply #10 |
25. Your reg/vote changes from 2000 to 2004 further dramatize... |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 12:31 AM Response to Original message |
12. What is the probability that.... |
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Sancho (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 03:52 AM Response to Reply #12 |
13. The smoking gun...which I haven't seen... |
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Sancho (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 04:17 AM Response to Reply #13 |
14. Example: in case I didn't make sense... |
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Iceburg (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 08:32 AM Response to Reply #14 |
16. Very interesting differential ... what technology is used in this |
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Sancho (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 07:06 PM Response to Reply #16 |
19. My theory?....here goes |
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Sancho (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Apr-19-05 06:44 AM Response to Reply #16 |
31. Touch screens...and we had an interesting experience... |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Apr-19-05 06:06 PM Response to Reply #13 |
34. I worked in Broward and folks were complaining about vote |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Apr-20-05 08:50 PM Response to Reply #34 |
36. Why didn't someone document which precincts and which machines |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Apr-20-05 08:48 PM Response to Reply #13 |
35. I'd like to talk to you; or interact directly about Pinellas |
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Sancho (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Apr-20-05 08:56 PM Response to Reply #35 |
38. I must be new to the list... |
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mgr (616 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Apr-19-05 02:40 PM Response to Reply #12 |
33. Touch screens preset to record Kerry when Bush selected? |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Apr-20-05 08:54 PM Response to Reply #33 |
37. Are you sure NEP precinct data is available?? I've been asking how to get |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Apr-20-05 09:05 PM Response to Reply #33 |
40. Mike, what you say about analysis isn't accurate- look more closely |
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passy (780 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Apr-23-05 09:54 AM Response to Reply #12 |
53. Could a simple vote switch have occurred. |
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LatePeriduct (660 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 05:05 PM Response to Original message |
17. Jimmy Carter has shown his true colors. |
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Bill Bored (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 05:25 PM Response to Original message |
18. TIA, 7:38pm 11027 had regional breakdowns. |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 07:21 PM Response to Reply #18 |
20. FL is a microcosm of the U.S. , not the south... |
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Bill Bored (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 07:38 PM Response to Reply #20 |
21. True, but here are the numbers anyway: |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 08:04 PM Response to Reply #21 |
22. Is this Southern Region?? Could you rearrange it so its understandable? |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 09:55 PM Response to Reply #22 |
23. I don't understand your info at all?? totals don't make sense |
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Bill Bored (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 10:35 PM Response to Reply #23 |
24. Yes Southern Region |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 11:20 PM Response to Reply #24 |
26. they don't tally either verticle or horizontal??? what are they? |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 11:25 PM Response to Reply #24 |
27. so in southern region, 54% of independents voted for Bush?? |
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Bill Bored (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Apr-19-05 01:36 AM Response to Reply #27 |
30. Here the Eastern Region |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Apr-20-05 09:01 PM Response to Reply #30 |
39. Is this 2004 NEP data? which states are Eastern? |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed Apr-20-05 09:11 PM Response to Reply #30 |
41. In Eastern region, more Rep voted for Kerry than Dem for Bush |
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Bill Bored (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Apr-19-05 12:29 PM Response to Reply #27 |
32. FL may be considered Eastern. I posted that below. nt |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Apr-18-05 11:39 PM Response to Reply #24 |
28. Rep 2000 col is probably Bush % change from 2000 |
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Bill Bored (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Apr-19-05 01:24 AM Response to Reply #28 |
29. They are from the 11,017, Time Created: 11/2/2004 7:33:46 PM |
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Sancho (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Apr-21-05 09:56 PM Response to Original message |
43. Another pattern I found.... |
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LatePeriduct (660 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Apr-21-05 10:01 PM Response to Reply #43 |
44. Castor still turns up ahead... |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Apr-21-05 11:26 PM Response to Reply #43 |
45. Don't you have the votes by precinct? they are available. |
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Sancho (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-22-05 08:21 AM Response to Reply #45 |
46. I agree.... |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-22-05 10:18 PM Response to Reply #46 |
50. Do the little white disk contain the recorded votes? Do they represent |
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adolfo (525 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-22-05 08:50 PM Response to Reply #45 |
48. Absentees by Precinct |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-22-05 10:15 PM Response to Reply #48 |
49. I have precinct data for some counties for election day, but not |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-22-05 10:31 PM Response to Reply #48 |
51. I didn't find any precinct data on their site? |
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LatePeriduct (660 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-22-05 07:17 PM Response to Original message |
47. kick |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Apr-23-05 04:05 PM Response to Reply #47 |
54. Does anyone know which states are in the 4 NEP regional EP data? |
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LatePeriduct (660 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Apr-23-05 02:33 AM Response to Original message |
52. kicked |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Apr-23-05 10:57 PM Response to Original message |
55. The case for using U.S. total Exit Poll data for Florida |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-24-05 10:00 AM Response to Reply #55 |
58. But only at the top level, no further down than sex & race |
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berniew1 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sat Apr-23-05 11:18 PM Response to Original message |
56. Why were the time of poll chosen different? why the 12:22 am and 2:05 pm |
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kster (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Apr-24-05 03:57 AM Response to Original message |
57. kick.n/t |
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