But then I wouldn't expect to find any right now.
As you know, first of all, mainly, at present, they are able to count cases
by being notified about dead bodies, since the relatives of so many who are ill do not want them to be noticed and sent to isolation wards. That may or may not make the case fatality rates look higher at present than they will eventually be found to be.
Second, the real test of how many actually were infected will come later when they do prevalence studies to look for antibodies to this strain of Marburg in the local population.
Third, I freely admit that this outbreak seems to have higher case fatality rates than in the past, but as I said previously what really matters is not how many of those who are infected die;
what is important as to spread is how easily the virus is passed from person to person. There is no evidence whatsoever that this is spreading in a way that would suggest any kind of worldwide problem.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=1332019&mesg_id=1344958http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=1332019&mesg_id=1345130Please note that in earlier threads I went out of my way to disabuse those who cited a 25% case fatality rate found at the CDC site and said CDC should update their site.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=1377255&mesg_id=1381949&page=I also went to the trouble to calculate case fatality rates from different outbreaks to demonstrate that this differs from outbreak to outbreak and thus a
high case fatality rate in Angola as you and pandemic cited was not at all unbelievable.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=1332019&mesg_id=1349544Further I clearly let people know that this outbreak, as you and pandemic stated, certainly would show a high case fatality rate, if not that it would be 100%.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=1377255&mesg_id=1381913http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=1377255&mesg_id=1382024However, you apparently want absolute agreement with your statements and that I cannot provide. Especially since in most of your posts you seem to think that convincing people that no one survives indicates that it is going to spread wildly and we should all be afraid we are going to die.
Further, you intimated previously that this was an airborne virus: that is alarmist and misleading. See my discussion here for the difference between airborne droplet transmission and airborne transmission.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=1377255&mesg_id=1382762
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=1377255&mesg_id=1384038