Reply #11: Well [View All]

[TheYellowDog]

I definitely know that we are going to take New York, DC, and Massachusetts. All of those are SOLID Democratic states. As for Vermont and California, Gore did not win those states by huge margins. Granted, he won them solidly, but it wasn't blowouts like in New York and Massachusetts. I would say that out of those 5 states(one district), if we lost any, we would lose Vermont and California. But I think that we will win them all. We have no shot at Texas, Wyoming, Alabama, or Mississippi due to the absolute GOP dominance in all of these states. We haven't won Texas since 1976, Wyoming since 1964, and Alabama and Mississippi since 1956, IIRC. Texas is getting a little bit more Dem due to the influx of immigrants, but I don't believe that we will have a crack at it till at least 2012. Of the states that Bush won in 2000, I believe that we have the best shot at taking Arkansas and Missouri, and possibly Ohio(large job loss there). What do you folks think?