Reply #5: The long term effect would be good [View All]

[many a good man]

because it is more in line with the true market value. It would begin to encourage discipline and responsibility in the markets. Its effects, however, would ripple across the intl economic system...

;-) "revaluing" to something approaching market conditions means the value of the renmimbi will soar up to 25%.

:( Chinese goods will become more expensive. This leads to inflation in the US

:( Since consumer spending is such a large pctg of the American economy, higher prices will choke growth

:* The Fed will be forced to raise interest rates in order to sell more bonds to finance our mushrooming deficits

x( Rising mortgage rates will put a halt to the real estate bubble. Prices will gradually retreat in step with each rate hike.

;( Climbing interest rates will slow demand and hit hard the record number of families carrying debt loads.

:) Manufacturing in the US will be greatly relieved by the revaluing, leading to strong employment gains in this sector

:) China turns it attention to Europe. China starts draining more mfg jobs from EU than US

:-( China's growth cuts in half while it readjusts to changing conditions;

;( Billions in Chinese reserves evaporate because they are in the form of US dollars lining their central bank's vaults from floor to ceiling

:P Billions of dollars in US foreign debt evaporates

:D Mkts react positively to the first faint gesture of responsibility coming out of Washington; the dollar strengthens on intl mkts.

;-) Stagnation in European and Asian markets makes the US still look like a good deal.

America maintains her preeminence but the world is at a stand still. Something big is going to happen, but no one knows what. I'm betting a huge golden chariot comes out of the heavens and hauls Pope Benedict around the sky over all the world...