Reply #41: Kerry lost males 55-44; among white males it was 62-37 [View All]

[Awsi Dooger]

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html

The early exit poll number on election night had Bush winning males by 9, 54-45. It changed to 55-44 when the full sample came in on Wednesday. That is perfectly normal. In fact, I'm sure some of the numbers will continue to change slightly.

I believe Bush won white males 60-36 in 2000.

In fact, a brief glance at 2000 and 2004 screams where this election was lost: white women, scared security moms. Here is the basic breakdown:

White Males:
2000: Bush 60 Gore 36%
2004 Bush 62% Kerry 37%

African Americans:
2000: Gore 90 Bush 9%
2004: Kerry 88 Bush 11%

Hispanics:
2000: Gore 62 Bush 35%
2004 Kerry 53 Bush 44%
(note: big change, but Hispanics are only 8% of the voters, up just 1% since 2000)

But now here's the killer:

White Women:
2000: Bush 49 Gore 48%
2004 Bush 55 Kerry 44%

That's the entire election. When you forfeit 10% among the largest voting block, a full 41% of the voters, no chance to make it up elsewhere. I checked every state in regard to exit polls and white women abandoned us nationwide. I really don't understand all this Diebold craze. Unless it only alters the votes of white females, via DNA or chromosone detection.