Reply #6: it's the turnout factor... that's what's being missed [View All]

[TheWebHead]

if what happened in iowa can be translated nationwide, this 48-52, 49-51 balance we've seen in presidential elections is out the window. If Obama can pull in the level of new voters, young voters, that in the past have been a pipe dream, the divided country equation would be squashed. And for everyone bellyaching that Obama is too moderate, remember that all these added voters are going to be voting mostly D down the line. That will mean greater majorities in the house, senate and within the states. That means more progressive policies are going to get passed, more so than if you would have gotten a more liberal president without the new voter advantage Obama provides.

If Hillary were to be the nominee, the exact opposite equation comes in, there's a risk that our gains in red states would be vanquished, we'd have a moderate president who will be pressured to be tough because of gender politics, and that young voter turnout advantage would be lost.