Infinite Hope
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Sat Jan-05-08 01:30 PM
Original message |
With 3 strong candidates, no single candidate will get majority of delegates before Convention. |
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With three strong candidates, no single one will be able to get a majority before the convention, barring a blowout in New Hampshire that knocks one of the three candidates out. We must remember there are only 4 contests with delegates before the massive Feb. 5th date; add Michigan and Florida who won't have delegates seated at the convention. All 3 top Democrats have enough support to last through Feb. 5th, thus resulting in a 3-way split with no one candidate ending with a majority of the delegates. Even a third place finish will likely carry a significant enough portion of the delegates to force a brokered convention (unless Edwards makes a deal with Obama at the convention in exchange for a promise of an Attorney General nomination).
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