Reply #71: I'm not trying to prove anything. [View All]

[mhatrw]

But you know what is really nonsense? Suggesting that a exit poll that is constantly adjusted to match the incoming returns somehow confirms the accuracy of the these returns.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/looking_for_new_hampshire_exit.php

By the end of the night, the tabulations will be weighted to the official count.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/exit_polls_what_you_should_kno_1.php

Once the polls close, the interviewer will attempt to obtain actual turnout counts, and if possible, actual vote returns for their precinct from polling place officials. One of the unique aspects of the NEP exit poll design is the way it gradually incorporates real turnout and vote data as it becomes available once the polls close. The exit pollsters have developed weighting schemes and algorithms to allow all sorts of comparisons to historical data that supports the networks as they decide whether to "call" a race for a particular candidate. When all of the votes have been counted, the exit poll is weighted by the vote to match the actual result.