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Reply #10: Your assertion is that the pollsters stopped too early, and that skewed the results. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 08:29 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. Your assertion is that the pollsters stopped too early, and that skewed the results.
That assertion is not supported by the evidence. There is very little difference between the polls that ended Sunday and those that ended Monday. The polls that polled through Monday night had Obama in the lead by 5, 13, 7, and 9 points.

The problem is not that they stopped polling too early. The problem is that 18% (according to exit polls) of the voters didn't choose a candidate until primary day, and there was obviously no way for pollsters to have predicted where those 18% would go.
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