Reply #3: Excellent discussion - predicts Obama but doesn't really know - and union effect clear after [View All]

[papau]

reading the transcript.


New York: We have heard a lot about unions pressuring their members (or not pressuring their members) to caucus for Obama. Do you think this is going to play a significant part in tomorrow's caucus? And as a follow up, if union members are largely Latino and minority, do think these demographics trump the union expectations?

washingtonpost.com: Democrats toughen up (Las Vegas Sun, Jan. 18)

Jon Ralston: The answer to your last question may be the key to the election. That is, will women and Hispanics in the Culinary --Hispanics make up about 40 percent of the union members -- who might lean toward Hillary Clinton stick with her, or out of union solidarity, go with Obama? If it were a secret ballot, I think the Culinary's impact would be diminished. But these folks will be standing with other union members and openly stating their preference. How many will go against the union's wishes?