Reply #17: There's another way to look at this [View All]

[Samantha]

Didn't I hear about 53% of the vote is African-American in South Carolina? If that is true, only 47% of the remaining base is not. I am not sure what percentage of that 47% is literally pale-faces, is there a percentage for Latinos, for instance? And what percentage remains undecided until the last moment?

But for purposes of this discussion, the remaining 47% of the base not African-American would be split among three major players. If it evenly split among the 3, each would garner approximately 15 percent. If Obama is attracting only 10%, as opposed to 15%, that's not a big deal. Giving the residents of South Carolina the benefit of the doubt -- they are supporting the candidate that speaks to their issues, regardless of color or gender, perhaps Edwards and Clinton are attracting voters who are rightfully theirs DESPITE the historical aspects of this race. Sure that might leave them when a larger number of the pale faces, but that's a natural ramification of African-Americas gravitating to a man who also speaks to their issues, not a discriminatory flavor to this election. And of course, Hillary and Edwards are getting a respectable percentage of the African-American vote, from the available reduced numbers in the overall well.

It is what it is because the voters of South Carolina are supporting the candidate with whom they identify. And that's simply the way the numbers shake out.

Does anyone think this might be a real possibility? Statistics are not my forte, just throwing this out as a possible perspective ....