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Newsweek explains why Obama may sweep ALL Feb contests and have HUGE momentum! [View All]

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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-08-08 02:30 AM
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Newsweek explains why Obama may sweep ALL Feb contests and have HUGE momentum!
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1) The Calendar: Seven of the eight nominating contests remaining in February seem tailored to Obama's strengths.

With 68 delegates, Washington is this Saturday's biggest prize--and every early indicator points to an Obama win. The delegate-rich western half of the state is dense with highly educated white liberals--a demographic that tends to favor Obama, who won voters with a four-year or post-graduate degree in 11 of the 16 Super Tuesday states and swept among people who earn more than $100,000 a year. Many of these supporters may prove to be "former Deaniacs" --"a serious constituency here," says political reporter Eli Sanders of Seattle's The Stranger, who adds that "Deaniacs and the Dean-style momentum in Washington are both very tangibly behind Obama." ...

So far, eight states have conducted caucuses, and seven of them--Iowa, Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Minnesota and North Dakota--have chosen Obama, often by margins of 20, 30 or 50 points; five were fellow Plains States. If Obama can win by 50 in Kansas, the thinking goes, he should do well in neighboring Nebraska...

Also on Saturday: the Louisiana primary. In South Carolina, Obama racked up a 28-point margin largely on the strength of his support among black voters, and he repeated the performance yesterday in Georgia and Alabama, where African-Americans chose him six-to-one over Clinton. Louisiana is 32 percent black--meaning that Obama arrives as the prohibitive favorite. Expect another overwhelming win...

But right now the oddsmakers says that Obama has a strong chance to win eight straight contests by the time the polls close in his home state of Hawaii on Feb. 19...

2) The Cash

http://www.blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/02/06/february-advantage-obama.aspx
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