Reply #35: like I said, she can't win over 15 states in the fall [View All]

[TexasObserver]

Her only possible winning strategy is to try to nail down the big states. The problem is she won't get indies in those states, and she's probably lost the kind of votes from the black community she would need to win the big cities.

If she's the nominee, I give us no better than a 35% chance of winning, with about an equal chance of her winning ten or fewer states.