Reply #7: No, not that similar... [View All]

[Silent3]

...because she's already shown she has some big wins, has acquired plenty of delegates already, and because of proportional allotment of delegates, she's still making some headway by picking up some delegates as she goes along.

This is not to say this won't be a tough period of time for her, and the bad publicity of losing so many states between now and 3/4 is likely to impact what she can win on 3/4 -- her margins of victory even if she wins are likely to be smaller, and then proportional delegates will work against her, shrinking the gains she makes.

Without some new surprises (and there probably will be surprises of some sort over the next few weeks) I see this as dragging on as a close race for a while, even with the momentum Obama is picking up now.