Reply #13: So...the other 49 don't count? [View All]

[earthlover]

Texas and Ohio are going to be Hillary's Last Stand.

Unless she wins big in both, she is absolutely TOAST and everyone knows it.

She does have and advantage to win these states, but with proportional selection of delegates she won't get enough delegates unless she wins BIG/HUGE/LANDSLIDE. I don't see it being a landslide in either state....maybe 60/40 but probably 55/45... that won't make a huge dent in the delegates.

If it is closer than that, anyone thinking of a hillary nomination is blowing smoke. Even if she wins TX and OH and PA, she would be lucky to win enough delegates if Obama sweeps until then. Not to mention that if Obama continues his winning ways, it will make a dent in TX, OH, and PA.

Obama has the momentum, he has an army of small contributors.

It is going to be close. But I would say the odds are 60/40 for Obama.