Reply #42: he lost by a few %....point is that Obama gained hugely from polls 3 weeks back [View All]

[earthlover]

Obama does not have to win Texas or Ohio. He just has to remain close enough so Hillary doesn't get roughly 60% of the delegates. Hillary, on the other hand, not only has to win, she has to win big! Given the fact that Obama has more money, will have the momentum of 10 states in a row, including media coverage of same, it would be very surprising if Obama does not narrow the gap in the polls in TX and/or OH. Actually, one poll has Obama actually ahead in Texas now! Even if Hillary wins big in TX and OH, all Hillary has done is survived...it is still a tossup.

This is interesting to watch. I think, at this point, Obama has to make a big mistake (soon) to lose this thing.

You can bet his staff are preparing him for the debates....knowing full well that Hillary is very likely to go very negative....and coaching him on the safe way to get through the debates with out a major flub.
At this point, he does not have to win the debates, he merely has to avoid losing them. Most debates do not have a clear winner/loser....so chances are these won't be any different.

Sorry, but this is the first time I have been able to say this, but at this point Obama is the front runner, and has the best chance of getting the nomination. It is his race to lose. Hillary's future is no longer in her own hands, it now depends on Obama goofing up.