Does the timing/order of the conventions make a difference? [View All]

[fujiyama]

I forgot when the dem. convention will be, but I think it's either in June or July.

As we know the GOP's is in September, timed nicely to exploit 9/11.

Well, does the timing make a difference? Kerry will definetely get a boost from his convention and VP pick. Unfortunately Bush will also probably get a boost from his convention. Since his is closer to the election, will that matter? After all there's quite a big gap between the dem and gop conventions. Post convention bounces only last so long. Doesn't the effect start fading after a while?

I'm curious if this has been the case in past elections -- whether there is a correlation between the timing/order of the conventions and a win.