Reply #15: Conflicting polls in Wisc. [View All]

[Darkamber]

However, the odds are in favor of Kerry when looking at the three polls.

Badger Poll
BUSH 50%
KERRY 38%
511 voting-age adults, taken April 20-28 by the University of Wisconsin Survey Center

St. Norbert College and Wisconsin Public Radio poll
KERRY 46%
BUSH 40%
402 voting-age adults taken April 14-21

Add to this:

Rasmussen Reports Poll
KERRY 50%
BUSH 42%
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted by Rasmussen Reports April 28, 2004. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.

Badger poll must have hit a Repud stronghold when they took the poll. The other two polls show a different picture.