Mark my words - She's going to drag it out to the convention. [View All]

[SlipperySlope]

I finally get it. I finally see things for what they are. She isn't going to quit, she isn't going to step aside, she isn't going to give up her dream until it is pried out of her hands. Her enablers and supporters will let her keep going and going, and she's going to take this all the way to Denver in the end of August.

She believes all her arguments about electability. She believes that the supers can be connived into voting for her. Hell, she's even floated the balloon that "pledged delegates" aren't really pledged and they are fair game as well.

The only possible thing that can stop this trainwreck would be for the party to turn its back on her. But that isn't going to happen. Too many people respect him and her too much. Too many people love him and her too much. Too many people will say "well, she deserves her chance to take it as far as she wants".

I don't think she sees the damage that she is doing to her brand. For all their political history they've been able to undo any problem, deflect any criticism, turn around any spin. They have always been able to take it to the edge and then turn it around, so she won't even recognize what going over the edge feels like.

The math isn't going to change
And that's the problem. The math isn't going to change. If she can look at the situation as it stands and seriously think she has a chance, then everything that is left to come will just encourage her. Oregon won't count. Kentucky, Puerto Rico, Montana, South Dakota, all of them will count, and be enough justification to keep going.

Michigan and Florida will be two itches that she just won't stop scratching. "If only", "if only", she will think. But as much as the party loves and respects her, she won't get what she wants. At best a token victory, the states get seated but not with the delegates "as is". Not enough votes, and then she'll have run out of primaries. All thats left is to work the back rooms and alleys and try to put together a deal.

Mark my words. June 3rd is going to come and go and it just won't matter. It's going to be a long, long, long summer.