Reply #15: No [View All]

[Duder]

"If Hillary succeeds in getting Florida and Michigan added at full strength, then the needed delegates goes to 2,210, an impossibility, because that would mean the Rules and By-Laws Committee agreed to it, which won't happen. Those delegations will likely be seated at half strength which moves the magic number to 2,118 or 2,131, depending on whether the supers are also cut to half. Let's say it's the highest, 2,131 and that Obama gets ZERO for Michigan because he was not on the ballot. Using that worst case scenario, that means that Obama needs 95 delegates. Hillary needs 226.

Now. There are 212 pledged delegates in remaining primaries. To win, she needs all of them, plus 14 more Supers or some combination of each. This is not going to happen, especially if some of the Supers are looking for a reason to move to Obama. Her chance of winning this by the numbers, even with the best Clintonesque arm twisting, is ZERO. ZERO. It's clear that Obama is the next Democratic Presidential nominee."

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