Reply #32: an update of the map should be interesting, given recent poll from CA. [View All]

[tiptoe]

CA poll: CA Dems now prefer Obama to Clinton 51% to 38%

Release #2270 Release Date and Time: 6:00 a.m., Friday, May 30, 2008
MORE CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATIC PARTY VOTERS NOW PREFER OBAMA AS THEIR PARTY'S NOMINEE. MCCAIN TRAILS BOTH OBAMA AND CLINTON BY LARGE MARGINS IN GENERAL ELECTION MATCH-UPS.
By Mark DiCamillo and Mervin Field

The results of the latest statewide Field Poll survey completed this week finds the following about the 2008 presidential election:

• Barack Obama is now preferred 51% to 38% over Hillary Clinton among Democratic Party voters in California to be the party’s standard-bearer in the fall presidential election.
  
  
• Relatively large segments of both Clinton and Obama supporters (22% and 17%, respectively) say they would not be likely to vote for their Democratic rival in the general election if their own preferred candidates does not get the nomination.
  
  
• Despite this, both Obama and Clinton hold large seventeen-point leads over Republican John McCain among a cross-section of Californians likely to vote for president in the November general election.
  
  
• A majority of Democratic Party voters say that either an Obama-Clinton ticket or a Clinton-Obama ticket would increase their likelihood of supporting the Democratic ticket in the fall and few say this would dissuade them. However, there is less appeal among Obama supporters for a Clinton-Obama ticket than there is for an Obama-Clinton ticket among Clinton voters.
  
  
• Four out of five Democratic party voters (82%) are satisfied and just 15% are dissatisfied with the way Obama has run his campaign. With Clinton 60% are satisfied and 38% are dissatisfied with the way she has run her campaign. Obama supporters are more critical of the way Clinton has run her campaign than vice-versa.
  
  
• Of the three presidential candidates, Obama has a much more favorable image profile among likely general election voters in this state than either Clinton or McCain.

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