Reply #67: I'm not doubting your sources, but I can't imagine how it could happen [View All]

[karynnj]

unless Palin were willing to say it were her decision. I don't get the feeling this will happen.

The reasons are:
1) It would solidify in many minds a concern for McCain's judgment.
2) The replacement would have to be as liked by the evangelical voters (which ruled out many good choices.
3) The choice might have to be a woman (not sure on this)
4) There is almost no time to introduce a new VP so it has to be someone very well known.

As to Powell and Rice. I doubt Powell will work for the evangelicals. Rice makes the "third term of Bush" attack work even better than it does. Once nominated, it may be political suicide to replace the VP, especially if she has gained supporters. To see this, turn it to a Democratic situation.

Though there were no scandals, imagine the disaster if in early September, Gore thought Leiberman was a drag and removed him. I know it would have had a negative impact - at least among Jews. (I am one.) Or, if that doesn't work, Shrum said that he thought Kerry wished he hadn't picked Edwards when Edwards wouldn't take direction. Tell me how quickly that would have sunk Kerry.