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I just don't buy that Time poll [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
JPJones Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 11:37 PM
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I just don't buy that Time poll
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Edited on Fri Sep-03-04 11:45 PM by JPJones
Look at the breakdown of voters from their previous polls.
http://www.srbi.com/time_poll.html
http://www.srbi.com/combined-data-2004-condensed.pdf

F12. Regardless of how you feel today, did you vote for Bush or Gore four ago?
REGISTERED
VOTERS Gore Bush
Aug24-26 41% 53%
Aug3-5 44% 50%
Jul20-22 44% 51%

And their stated methodology -
In order to ensure that everyone in the household has an equal chance at being interviewed, we ask to speak with the youngest male, 18 years of age or older. If no male is available we ask to speak with the oldest female, 18 years of age or older. Asking this question helps to increase the level of chance and make sure that we speak with a diverse population. (?)

Once data collection is complete, we check to make sure it is representative of the whole United States population. Often data is adjusted so that it accurately reflects the whole population. Final figures are matched against U.S. Census Bureau breakdowns on age, sex, race, education, and region of the country. Data is also adjusted to account for the fact that people who share a phone with others are less likely to be contacted than people who live alone and have their
own phones, and that households with more than one telephone number have more chances to be called than households with only one phone number.
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