Reply #21: I don't think that gives them extra credibility. [View All]

[Phx_Dem]

I think it's more important how close their poll numbers come to the actual result, than what the end result is. I also think Obama will win Ohio, but that doesn't give me any credibility in predicting the outcome if Obama does win Ohio. It's 50/50 prediction -- anyone could do that.

Pollsters need to come close to the actual results in order to get a good ranking -- not just predict the winner.

I hope this poll is right, but I'm not gonna get to excited about it. Nate Silver doesn't have a single poll from Columbus Dispatch represented in his Ohio polling stats.